Nashville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

101
FXUS64 KOHX 071751
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1251 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Periodic showers and thunderstorms this week with low severe
  storm chances.

- Expect heavy rainfall with storms as PWATs reach near record
  territory through mid week. Medium chance for minor flooding in
  urban areas and poor drainage/low-lying areas.

- Hot and humid conditions this week as heat indices reach the
  90s early week and even near 100 by mid week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

A wet pattern is underway today as high pressure shifts offshore
and a surface boundary develops across the region, supported by a
trough to the west. Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing S of
I-65 and will continue to push N through Middle TN this afternoon
and evening. The overall risk of severe weather remains low. Any
isolated stronger storms could bring gusty winds, lightning, and
heavy rainfall. Heavy rainfall is the primary concern due to high
PWAT values, which could lead to localized flooding in heavier
downpours.

Highs today reach the mid to upper 80s, with overnight lows in the
low to mid 70s. Monday looks similar, with showers and thunderstorms
likely, with highs in the low to mid 80s. There is a low chance for
severe weather W of I-65 during this time. Main threats will be
heavy rain and the potential for strong damaging winds. Localized
flash flooding will once again be the main concern.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Unsettled conditions persist into early next week before
transitioning to a more typical summertime regime. Monday night
into Tuesday will feature continued showers and thunderstorm
chances, with highest activity through the morning and afternoon.
Temperatures warm as highs climb into the upper 80s to low/mid
90s by Wednesday through Saturday (some 90+ days). Dew points
remain elevated, pushing heat indices into the mid to upper 90s
and potentially near 100 at times by mid week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

A large area of showers with embedded thunderstorms will impact
terminals through the afternoon, bringing an associated low cloud
deck with it. Low MVFR to IFR cigs will be in place this evening
through at least Monday morning with scattered showers through the
night. Rainfall picks back up after 12Z Monday. Southeasterly
winds will shift more southerly through the period, generally less
than 10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  84  71  87 /  60  80  60  80
Clarksville    71  85  71  88 /  50  80  70  80
Crossville     67  75  66  79 /  70  90  50  80
Columbia       70  84  70  87 /  60  80  40  70
Cookeville     68  79  68  83 /  70  90  60  90
Jamestown      66  77  66  82 /  50  90  50  90
Lawrenceburg   70  82  70  85 /  60  80  40  70
Murfreesboro   71  83  70  87 /  60  80  50  80
Waverly        71  85  71  88 /  60  70  60  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....Baggett